Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001608 0.001709 0.001813 0.001930 0.002055 0.002187 0.002336
2025-02-09 0.001479 0.001624 0.001781 0.001962 0.002167 0.002392 0.002659
2025-02-16 0.001422 0.001602 0.001802 0.002042 0.002323 0.002642 0.003037
2025-02-23 0.001336 0.001535 0.001762 0.002041 0.002377 0.002772 0.003275
2025-03-02 0.001234 0.001441 0.001681 0.001983 0.002355 0.002802 0.003389
2025-03-09 0.001157 0.001370 0.001622 0.001944 0.002349 0.002849 0.003519
2025-03-16 0.001108 0.001328 0.001594 0.001940 0.002384 0.002944 0.003713
2025-03-23 0.001055 0.001280 0.001554 0.001917 0.002392 0.003002 0.003858
2025-03-30 0.001013 0.001242 0.001525 0.001906 0.002412 0.003075 0.004025
2025-04-06 0.000968 0.001198 0.001487 0.001880 0.002410 0.003116 0.004149
2025-04-13 0.000924 0.001154 0.001444 0.001846 0.002395 0.003137 0.004244
2025-04-20 0.000869 0.001093 0.001379 0.001778 0.002330 0.003086 0.004229
2025-04-27 0.000858 0.001092 0.001394 0.001824 0.002431 0.003280 0.004598
2025-05-04 0.000840 0.001081 0.001397 0.001854 0.002511 0.003449 0.004945
2025-05-11 0.000840 0.001093 0.001432 0.001928 0.002658 0.003725 0.005473
2025-05-18 0.000813 0.001069 0.001414 0.001927 0.002694 0.003837 0.005752
2025-05-25 0.000771 0.001021 0.001361 0.001873 0.002647 0.003818 0.005815
2025-06-01 0.000738 0.000984 0.001322 0.001836 0.002625 0.003836 0.005940
2025-06-08 0.000717 0.000963 0.001306 0.001833 0.002652 0.003932 0.006202
2025-06-15 0.000692 0.000936 0.001279 0.001812 0.002651 0.003981 0.006386
2025-06-22 0.000671 0.000915 0.001259 0.001801 0.002665 0.004056 0.006619
2025-06-29 0.000648 0.000889 0.001232 0.001777 0.002656 0.004090 0.006779
2025-07-06 0.000624 0.000861 0.001201 0.001745 0.002633 0.004100 0.006895